Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2016-259
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2016-259
05 Jul 2016
 | 05 Jul 2016
Status: this preprint was under review for the journal HESS. A revision for further review has not been submitted.

The new importance measures based on vector projection for multivariate output: application on hydrological model

Liyang Xu, Zhenzhou Lu, and Sinan Xiao

Abstract. Analyzing the effects of the inputs on the correlated multivariate output is important to assess risk and make decisions in Hydrological processes. However, the existing methods, such as output decomposition approach and covariance decomposition approach, cannot provide sufficient information of the effects of the inputs on the multivariate output, since these methods only measure the influence of input variables on the magnitudes of variances of the dimensionalities in the multiple output space and ignore the effects on the dimensionality directions of output variances. In this paper, a new kind of sensitivity indices based on vector projection for the multivariate output is proposed. By the projection of the conditional vectors on the unconditional vector in the dimensionless multiple output space, the new sensitivity indices measure the influence of the input variables on the magnitudes of variances and directions of the dimensionalities simultaneously. The mathematical properties of the proposed index are discussed, and its link with the Sobol indices is derived. And Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) is used to estimate the proposed sensitivity indices. The results for two numerical examples and a hydrological model indicate the validity and potential benefits of the vector projection index and the efficiency of estimation approach.

Liyang Xu, Zhenzhou Lu, and Sinan Xiao
 
Status: closed (peer review stopped)
Status: closed (peer review stopped)
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
Printer-friendly Version - Printer-friendly version Supplement - Supplement
 
Status: closed (peer review stopped)
Status: closed (peer review stopped)
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
Printer-friendly Version - Printer-friendly version Supplement - Supplement
Liyang Xu, Zhenzhou Lu, and Sinan Xiao
Liyang Xu, Zhenzhou Lu, and Sinan Xiao

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Short summary
It is necessary to analyse the uncertainty of the inputs on the correlated multivariate output in hydrological processes. And the existing methods cannot provide sufficient information of the effects of the inputs and ignore the effects on the dimensionality directions of output variances.In addition, the dimensions of outputs also influence the results. So I proposed a new sensitivity indices based on vector projection for the multivariate output, which can solve the problems above.