Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2017-359
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2017-359
14 Jul 2017
 | 14 Jul 2017
Status: this discussion paper is a preprint. It has been under review for the journal Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (HESS). The manuscript was not accepted for further review after discussion.

Impacts of spatial resolutions on projected changes in precipitation extremes: from site- to grid-scales

Jianfeng Li, Thian Yew Gan, Yongqin David Chen, Qiang Zhang, Zengyun Hu, and Xihui Gu

Abstract. Precipitation extremes are localized and spatially heterogeneous events. Magnitude of precipitation extreme p is expected to be spatial resolution dependent. Heavy precipitation extremes tend to be less intensive at coarser resolutions due to the averaging effect of the neighbouring less extreme events. Given the resolution dependent p, this study aims to investigate how spatial resolutions affect projected changes in precipitation extremes between future and historical periods, i.e. pfutphis, which is a commonly used metric in climate projections. Our results show that although p is sensitive to spatial resolutions, differences in pfutphis among various spatial resolutions are relatively small. Assessments of performances of GCMs in simulating p and pfutphis are conducted based on three commonly used strategies that account for differences in spatial resolutions between GCMs and observations, i.e. the site-scale, the grid-scale, and the grid-point (i.e. direct comparison of grid-against scale-extremes) comparisons. Performances of GCMs in the site-scale comparison outperform those in the grid-scale and grid-point comparisons, because the statistical downscaling method incorporates the site-scale information to the future values when downscaling the GCMs. Assessment results of the grid-point comparison are comparable to those of the grid-scale comparison, even though the former has been criticized for not accounting for the difference in spatial resolutions between GCMs and observations. The spatial distributions of pfutphis under RCP8.5 show that their differences between the site scale and the GCMs’ original resolutions are marginal. Given the considerable discrepancies among GCM outputs, the effects of spatial resolutions on projected changes are negligible.

Jianfeng Li, Thian Yew Gan, Yongqin David Chen, Qiang Zhang, Zengyun Hu, and Xihui Gu
 
Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
Printer-friendly Version - Printer-friendly version Supplement - Supplement
Jianfeng Li, Thian Yew Gan, Yongqin David Chen, Qiang Zhang, Zengyun Hu, and Xihui Gu
Jianfeng Li, Thian Yew Gan, Yongqin David Chen, Qiang Zhang, Zengyun Hu, and Xihui Gu

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Latest update: 22 Apr 2024
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Short summary
Precipitation extremes are localized and spatially heterogeneous events. Previous studies showed that estimation of magnitudes of extremes is sensitive to spatial resolutions. Our results show that projected changes in extremes between future and historical periods, a commonly used metric in climate projections, are insensitive to spatial resolutions. Given the considerable discrepancies among GCM outputs, the impacts of spatial resolutions on projected changes are negligible.